OfTwoMinds May 11 2014
The solution to the erosion of the middle class lifestyle is to destroy debt and other fixed costs and eliminate self-sabotaging discretionary consumption.
Last week I covered the structural dynamics causing the decline of the middle class. In general, the costs of untradable services (healthcare, higher education, government) and the rot of financialization have increased while wages have stagnated. The Federal Reserve’s “solution” was to make everyone who owned a house a speculator who could only keep even with rising costs by riding the asset bubbles higher and then extracting the “free money” generated by these bubbles before they popped.
- The Decline of Small Business and the Middle Class
- The Changing Nature of Middle Class Work
- How the Middle Class Lifestyle Became Unaffordable
- The Destabilizing Truth: Only the Wealthy Can Afford a Middle Class Lifestyle
Let’s take two representative households to understand the decline of the middle class and the solution. Let’s say both households earn $81,000 annually, virtually all from wages and salaries. This puts the family at around the 70% mark of U.S. households, just within the top 30%. (For context, the 2011 median household income was $50,054.)
This income is solidly middle class: not low enough to qualify for much in the way of government subsidies but not high enough to avoid prioritizing and trade-offs.
Household A has a big mortgage on a house they bought near the top of the market with a minimal down payment, student loans, two auto loans and credit card balances. After making the loan payments and paying for utilities, transportation, groceries, employees’ share of healthcare costs, eating out, mobile phone/broadband/TV service plans, there is little money left to save for emergencies, travel, college for the kids, home maintenance, etc.
How do we describe this family: middle class or debt-serfs? Actually, they’re both:measured by what they superficially own (home, two vehicles, communication and entertainment devices, college degrees, etc.), this household is solidly middle class. But measured by how much income is spent servicing debt, how much is left to accumulate or invest, the family’s net worth (their assets’ market value minus debt) and generational wealth, this household is mired in debt-serfdom: their debts will never be paid off.
The mortgage will never be paid off, and by the time the parents’ student loan debt is reduced, the next generation’s student loans are piling up. The auto loans may eventually be paid off, but it will look cheaper to buy a new vehicle with a modest monthly payment than to pay costly auto maintenance with scarce cash. Continue reading