Elad Hakim – Republicans should be quite pleased with the results of the midterm elections. Despite the ominous predictions of an incoming Democratic “blue wave,” Republicans around the country did well. To the dismay of many Democrats, the supposed wave was nothing more than a “hiccup,” as Republicans gained seats in the Senate, held on to some important governors’ seats, and lost far fewer seats in the House than is historically the case for the party in power. If this election was a referendum on President Trump, the results point to one conclusion: the American public still supports President Trump, and the “Trump effect” is strong and can significantly impact an election.
Historically, the party in power has lost seats in the House.
History tells us that the president’s party almost always loses House seats, which has happened in 35 out of the 38 midterm elections (92 percent) since the end of the Civil War. In the Senate, the pattern is not quite as strong. Since 1913, when the 17th Amendment was adopted and the direct election of Senators began, the president’s party has lost seats in 19 out of 26 elections (73 percent). Continue reading